衡量全球经济的事件与危险因素

冠状病毒第二波,疫苗生产和即将到来的美国选举都在全球经济前景中称重。目前,中国是预计2020年唯一一个积极增长的主要经济体,但预计恢复经验将在其他主要经济体中复制。

A safe vaccine is likely to be produced in the middle of 2021, but vaccinating most of the population in affected countries will take at least two to four quarters, and it’s expected that even in this scenario, global real GDP will contract by almost 5 percent in 2020.